Climate Letter #564

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Conventional power production may become unsustainable because of climate change.  Future demands for water will not be met in many places, for both hydro and any thermal production that needs water for cooling.  Wind and solar can thus look ahead to gaining another edge.
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A new approach to calculating climate sensitivity.  Every variable that affects climate needs to be understood by checking out its place within the modern global context.  The authors of this study at NASA find that conventional estimates of future rates of warming may fail to recognize this fact and as a result need an upward correction..
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Another study has findings which support the idea that today’s rate of change in environment due to increased greenhouse gas is unprecedented in the Earth’s history.  Thus, “….testing the risks associated with the pace of modern environmental change is proving problematic, due to a lack of similar rapid changes in the geological past.”
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The amount of runoff from Greenland’s surface meltwater is greater than expected.  The reason is based on a discovery that certain assumptions about how much meltwater is captured and refrozen within the sheet are wrong.  Estimates for sea-level rise may well be affected by this data, which also leads to a prediction of acceleration in the future melting rate.
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Big declines projected for the cost of energy storage systems.  This report looks for a 41% drop by 2020, giving special attention to likely improvements in manufacturing complicated hardware and inverters.  Utilities will gain a great deal of flexibility and should soon become a prime market.
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A cheap new catalyst for producing hydrogen has been found.  This one may have all of the right answers for what has commonly been a frustrating problem.
Carl

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