Climate Letter #2000

Thanks to The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, this story found its way into my computer this morning.  It is one of the most alarming things I have ever read about what is happening to our planet, and utterly convincing:  “Smoke thunderclouds: Wildfires use the atmosphere to light more wildfires” https://thebulletin.org/2021/08/smoke-thunderclouds-wildfires-use-the-atmosphere-to-light-more-wildfires/.   The story was first published by Wired on July 27, under a different heading and using separate imagery, found at this link:  https://www.wired.com/story/oh-good-now-theres-an-outbreak-of-wildfire-thunderclouds/.  For some reason it was not picked up by any of the news services I use.  The first image you see in the Bulletin repost is new addition. It has an exceptionally clear way of visualizing the main message, but the full text must be read to fill in the details. This is an unexpected revelation about how nature works. Prepare for a shock.

Another story that has not been well-covered in the media concerns the scale of this summer’s wildfires in Siberia.  As bad as all the other fires are everywhere else, according to data compiled by Greenpeace the ones in Siberia may have burned off more territory than all of the others combined.  Their remote locations make it practically impossible for anyone to exercise control:  https://netherlandsnewslive.com/ignored-and-unchecked-russias-wildfires-are-bigger-than-all-the-others-combined/217091/

Over the past year I have dedicated most of these letters to continuous detailing of specific processes involved in the development of theories based on a rather bold reexamination of the current science of climate change. The theories have lead to a conclusion that the situation may be worse than what we have been told by the IPCC and other mainstream informants. The main reason can be attributed to discoveries that give us a better understanding of the greenhouse energy production of water vapor and its “alter ego” known as precipitable water (PW). Water vapor is different from the other greenhouse gases in all kinds of ways, starting with its relatively extraordinary strength and including the highly uneven way it is distributed throughout the atmosphere

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.One of the key findings of this work is tied to the realization that the strength of water vapor is not expressed in a constant way. Instead, its real strength, when measured in terms of actual warming power, is dependent on how it is distributed. There are profound differences in the mode of distribution, foremost among which is the fact that a certain amount of water vapor is constantly being transported into the upper part of the troposphere, which features a separate and unique wind system. The vapor molecules that enter this system all end up being transformed into a different state, bit by bit, which is why they must collectively be given a new and different name, that of PW. Their collective greenhouse energy power has been found—with some degree of uncertainty—to not be significantly altered while the change of state is being processed. Nor does the processing have a notable affect on the way the mass moves about. There is always one major effect—pieces of the mass keep falling out and dropping back to Earth’s surface by means of precipitation.

The unusual nature of the movement of PW in the upper atmosphere produces the distributional changes that are responsible for causing meaningful temperature differences on surfaces below.  A concentration of high-altitude PW that has only a minor impact one neighborhood, as part of its total overhead column of PW by weight, may have a much greater impact if it is moved into the column of a different neighborhood by actions in the upper-level wind system.  These movements can occur in relatively brief periods of time.  The patterns of movement are subject to controls of an irregular sort, which are capable of breaking down.  Current trends in one hemisphere, the NH, suggest that a breakdown is now occurring, causing a sharp increase in the temperatures of many places. Siberia is one of the places most heavily affected by the increases.

Carl

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