Climate Letter #1202

An important story about the potential impact of global warming on the three major tropical forests (Mongabay).  The 2015-16 El Nino, which was a significant warming event of relatively short duration, provided a number of clues that scientists have been working to understand.  This article has an outstanding summary of what they have learned so far.  The amount of information is way too much for any attempt to summarize on my part, and there are simply no shortcuts to absorbing it all. Broadly, there are tipping points in sight and the outlook is not reassuring.  Quickly eliminating deforestation, if that is possible, is said to be the single best hope for mitigation.

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From DW, “The world is losing vital forests quicker than ever.”  According to new data from Global Forest Watch, “In 2017, the world lost 29.4 million hectares (72.6 million acres) of tree cover — more than double the size of Germany. This was only slightly down from the 2016 record of 29.7 million hectares (73.4 million acres).”  The only positive part of the data in 2017 came from Indonesia, which did not have to contend with El Nino as it did in 2016, and has seen improved government efforts to protect forests.  Indeed, if you discount the overall natural effects of El Nino that were pointed out in the previous story, 2017 stands out as a terribly bad year for what humans are doing.  That leaves us with a question—what better can we hope for this year?
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The final draft summary of a major UN report on climate change is available.  The summary was delivered to government policy makers in order to clarify the advantages of adhering to a temperature increase target of 1.5C as opposed to 2.0.  There is a substantial difference in the considerations for public safety between the two levels, and time is quickly running out for making needed adjustments in CO2 emissions.  This post has a link to the summary itself, which was leaked to Climate Home News.
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The pet food industry accounts for about one-quarter of global meat consumption, which is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions.  This story from The Guardian looks into the search for alternatives, which is quite complicated, especially in the case of cats.
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David Roberts, who writes for Vox and is always interesting, sees plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the future of electric vehicles.  Along the way he mentions the fact that SUVs are now outselling old-fashioned automobiles.
Carl

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