Climate Letter #502

Posted on October 6, 2015 by Carl Campbell
Troubles in sub-Saharan Africa affect 60 million people with starvation.  Two years of flooding and droughts are already in the books, and now El Nino could add to the difficulty.  I follow the reanalyzer website daily at http://cci-reanalyzer.org/DailySummary/# and can verify that temperature anomalies of 7-8C (or 13-14F) have persisted in this region throughout the entire past summer, just as they are seen if you look today.  Moreover, with summer now past, the average daily temperatures are running at about 100F, with highs probably ten degrees above that.

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Warming temperatures and huge wildfire outbreaks are linked.  This study is interesting because it is based on an historical reference point from 1200 years ago, when conditions were similar to those of today.  It ” provides more evidence that even a small amount of warming has a huge effect on wildfire.”  The study especially applies to higher altitude forests.
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A closer look at India’s coal production.  This helps to clarify the two stories about India in yesterday’s Climate Letter.  It’s all because India now apparently wants to accelerate its rate of economic growth, perhaps at an unreasonable or not even reachable pace.
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Interpretation of the historic flooding in South Carolina.  The state’s own scientists predicted something of the sort as recently as 2013.  This story from the Washington Post has cogent assessments of the connection to global warming from several top scientists.
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The Trans-Pacific Trade Agreement is about more than economics.  A number of environmental groups have found reasons not to like it.  The potential for obstruction of fossil fuel regulations is one of them.
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A major Antarctic glacial region is found to be relatively stable.  The Filchner-Ronne ice sheet complex has been closely studied because its size is big enough to produce several meters of sea level rise if completely thawed.  Unlike some of the others, this one is now seen as unlikely to break loose in an unstoppable manner, which is quite a relief.
Carl

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