From the EU Climate Service, the warmest month of October ever recorded (Phys.org, news). The new reading is equivalent to 1.2 Celsius above the pre-industrial average. September was also a record-breaking month, and July was the hottest single month of all those measured in the years since temperature records began. Also, “Twenty of the last 22 years have been the hottest on record, according to the UN World Meteorological Organization.”
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New data provides many details of sea level changes in the early part of the last interglacial period (Australian National University). This is an extraordinary report, having considerable relevance to the current situation, presented with great clarity and credibility. The news release has all the highlights, too many for me to summarize, plus the full study is available for reading. The study is sure to receive considerable commentary because it goes so far beyond anything else yet published on the subject.
–Link to the full report:
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A new analysis of all pledges under the Paris Agreement shows three-quarters are not on track (The Guardian). The analysis of 184 national pledges, with the EU treated as one, was published by the Universal Ecological Fund, headed by a former chairman of the IPCC. “The current pledges made under the Paris agreement are totally inadequate to put us on a pathway to meet either the 1.5C or the 2C goal,” said the report’s author, Prof Sir Robert Watson, a former IPCC chair and scientific adviser to the UK and US governments. “With just 1C warming so far, we are already seeing some very significant effects. The effects at 3-4C will be very profound on people around the world.”
–This link has access to the full report: https://feu-us.org/
–Plus, not to be overlooked—Donald Trump has fulfilled his pledge to make America first (The New Republic). “To date, America is the only country to move to withdraw from the landmark 2015 agreement.”
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“How climate change will transform the global balance of power” (Financial Times, opinion). Many interesting observations by a professor who will soon publish a book on the subject. Russia gets special attention because it faces an unusual combination of deep challenges and powerful opportunities.
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“Will plants help make the planet wetter or drier in a changing climate?” (Carbon Brief, guest post). This was written by four of the authors of a new study that was introduced in yesterday’s Climate Letter and kind of left dangling because there are so many complications and questions that need answering. The authors are clearly convinced that the public needs to pay attention, and here they offer some explanations that are helpful. If you just scroll down to the chart called “American Southwest Summer Drought Severity Index” you can see a big reason for their concern.
Carl