Climate Letter #1468

Globally, the average monthly temperature for the month of June was the highest on record.  El Nino had a small positive effect, which is only temporary.  “The current weak El Niño is fizzling out already, so the annual 2019 temperature is going to be high, but probably second to 2016.”  Any way you look at it, the current warming trend continues.

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The new world hunger report from the UN shows rising numbers each year since 2015 (Inside Climate News).  That represents a change of trend following decades of progress.  “The FAO estimates that 820 million people suffered from malnourishment, up from 785 million in 2015. Overall, nearly 2 billion people face either moderate or severe food insecurity…..Economic shocks are contributing to prolonging and worsening the severity of food crises caused primarily by conflict and climate shocks.”  A separate report shows that livestock production keeps growing and contributing more to carbon emissions.
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Tremendous flooding from monsoon rains in parts of south Asia (The Guardian).  Nepal, India and Bangladesh have been hard hit, no less damaging than recent flooding in the US, a sign of how rainfall everywhere is being given a boost by warmer temperatures.  Over 100 people have died as a result, with millions hit by flash floods.
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Climate change is not the only reason coral reefs are dying (Phys.org).  Researchers have provided evidence that nitrogen loading from surface runoff and other human activities can account for such killing all on their own.  “While there is little that communities living near coral reefs can do to stop global warming, there is a lot they can do to reduce nitrogen runoff. Our study shows that the fight to preserve coral reefs requires local, not just global, action.”  Perhaps this means we can temper some of the most dire forecasts that deal with future coral extinctions around the globe.
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A comprehensive new forecast of extreme heat conditions all over the US by mid-century (Inside Climate News).  This peer-reviewed study was based on the predictions of 18 climate models and formed into a special report by the Union of Concerned Scientists.  “It found that the number of days when the average temperature will feel like 100 degrees in the Lower 48 states will more than double, from about two weeks at the end of the last century to 30 days by mid-century, even with some efforts to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions that drive global warming.”  This story includes a good deal of commentary about what the extra heat will mean for everyday living activities, including outdoor sports.
Carl

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