Climate Letter #1346

Scientists now have data that directly links climate change and human migration.  “IIASA-led research has established a causal link between climate, conflict, and migration for the first time, something which has been widely suggested in the media but for which scientific evidence is scarce…..the researchers chose to use data from asylum applications from 157 countries from 2006-15 to study the patterns.”  Severe drought conditions often exacerbated conflicts, especially in countries having weak governance.

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Two countries in Africa’s Sahel region, Mali and Niger, provide present-day examples of a breakdown in living conditions as described in the story above (reliefweb).  “The violence and challenges facing the region are not only due to the conflict, but are also tied to diminishing usable land and unpredictable water resources…..Temperatures in the Sahel are rising 1.5 times faster than the global average. Rainfall is erratic and wet seasons are shrinking. The U.N. estimates that roughly 80% of the Sahel’s farmland is degraded even as roughly 50 million people in the Sahel who depend on livestock compete for land.”
–BBC News also has a report from Mali, one that features human interest stories and illustrations:
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From the World Resources Institute, a kind of scoreboard showing humanity’s progress toward fulfillment of climate goals.  This is a very clear presentation, with a breakdown of the main components within six major sectors of interest, with many charts.  “Insufficient progress” tends to be the rule.
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One sign of progress—a record number of Americans currently feel threatened by climate change (Axios).  Nearly half now say they have personally experienced harmful effects, attributed to the unusual number of weather disasters that are on record.  The post has a link to the main poll report, published each year by Yale and George Mason universities, with many more details.
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How fossil fuels are subsidized by the EU (The Guardian).  Progress in phasing out those subsidies has been painfully slow, contrary to pledges that have been made and to the spirit of the Paris accord.  The UK and four others still give more subsidies to fossil fuels than to renewable energy.  There is some debate over definitions, as described in this story.
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A video explanation of how melting ice sheets will affect sea level rise in different parts of the world.  Professor Jerry Mitrovica, who is the foremost expert in this study, and a fine lecturer, tells the story from Harvard in just four minutes.
Carl

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