Climate Letter #1327

Posted on December 21, 2018 by Carl Campbell
A historical analysis of three different trends of temperature change, by Dana Nuccitelli.  Each year is characterized as being influenced by El Nino conditions, La Nina, in-between the two, or volcanic, differences in these four being the principal cause behind all the wiggles in the historical temperature charts.  Dana has compiled separate temperature charts for each type for comparison, leaving out volcanoes, finding each of their trends to be quite consistent.  2018 has been a La Nina year, but one of the weaker ones of that type.  We still need to experience the cooling of a strong type of La Nina before concluding that the overall shape of the trajectory has been bent toward a stronger upward curve, but plus 0.18C per decade appears to be safely entrenched on the low end.

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A new study surveys and collates the many ways that climate stresses in various parts of the globe find ways to intersect and influence each other, leading to dynamic interactions.  When this happens we get either a one-way domino effect or mutually amplifying feedbacks, both of which can bring nasty surprises. “We’re surprised at the rate of change in the Earth system. So much is happening at the same time and at a faster speed than we would have thought 20 years ago. That’s a real concern…..We’re heading ever faster towards the edge of a cliff.”
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From The Times of India, a review of ten of the year’s top climate-related stories.  You may find some details here that  are applicable but previously overlooked.  Based on my daily work, I have no doubt that climate change was in the news more in 2018 than any other since starting to write these letters five years ago.
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Every individual has a carbon footprint.  This story is about a family in Germany that made a serious effort to bring their numbers down.  They were not quite able to reach their goal, but ended up with a little less than half of the average for all German families, and still seem to be living quite comfortably.
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The search for a scriptural base on the side of climate action (The Guardian).  The author has found reasons for why evangelicals in the US have had particular difficulty in dealing with this issue, and describes some of the efforts being made to confront it.
Carl

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