More thoughts about Carl’s Theory, which I happen to own and have every right to clarify or add to in depth while it is still in the incubation stage. Broadly speaking, the theory is about something not even recognized as having an independent reality as a producer of greenhouse effects. Precipitable water (PW) is not a gas, like CO2 and the other GHGs (greenhouse gases), nor is it even a uniform kind of substance in terms of material states, where it includes all three. Greenhouse effect producers are certainly not limited to qualifying gases. The liquid droplets that form into cloud bodies have gained acceptance, and so have a number of solid aerosols like black carbon as long as they are airborne and have an ability to trap outgoing radiation and release some of their own radiation back toward the surface. All non-gas producers tend to be downgraded in some way. They either impose severe evaluation difficulties, like clouds, or just fade into insignificance for purposes of model creation.
PW cannot possibly be dismissed as something that completely lacks independent reality. It is all created from one kind of molecule, and we can accurately measure specific portions of it, in total, as if were completely separated from everything else in the air—just like you alone stepping on a scale. As an independent reality, and as long as it contains at least a little bit of water vapor, a true greenhouse gas, or at the very least a few clouds, no rational person can make an assumption that PW is not a producer of greenhouse energy effects. The effects could at times (maybe) be more than offset by cloud surface albedo effects, but that does not mean the greenhouse effect is not a reality in its own right. Its presence will always serve to reduce the net strength of the albedo effect.
We might therefore assume that PW exists in the atmosphere as an independent reality, and that as such it will virtually always generate a greenhouse energy effect. In fact, if we know the whereabouts of virtually every bit of PW that exists in the atmosphere, which is what the measuring devices keep telling us, then we know that virtually every bit of the greenhouse effect being generated by both water vapor and the liquid droplet bodies of clouds, combined as a single measure of value, is being fully expressed at the same time, along with possible additional effects from whatever other H2O aerosols, liquid or icy, are present in the same mix. (If not fully expressed, where would they be hiding?) Some questions immediately arise, with a focus on measurability.
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Carl