Climate Letter #1315

Spotlight on Indonesia and its carbon emissions (Vox).  Indonesia has the fourth largest population on the globe, behind China, India and the US, at 268 million, growing just a bit more than 1% per year.  It is only the fifth largest emitter of greenhouse gases, and that is because its economy is not fully developed.  Of special interest, most of its emissions are derived from land usage, where it ranks first in the world.  Meanwhile, as it plays catch-up in economic development its rapid growth in energy demand is to a large degree being satisfied by burning coal.  The full story will leave you with a realization of the importance of how all this unfolds.  “Indonesia can’t solve climate change on its own. But the world can’t stop climate change without Indonesia.”

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“China is both the best and worst hope for clean energy” (Wired).  The world’s biggest carbon polluter is in the awkward position of having a leadership role in the world’s efforts to attack climate change.  It has plenty of potential to be helpful, but actual intentions are something of a mystery.  This story has laid out all of the relevant facts and some informed opinions.  The conclusion is similar to that in the above story, “We’re all gonna fry if they don’t do something.”
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The EU is the world’s third largest emitter of greenhouse gases, behind China and the US.  One week ago “the European Commission adopted a long-term strategy for achieving a prosperous, modern and climate-neutral economy by 2050.”  The WRI points out four reasons for why this net-zero emissions pan could be a game-changer that other countries could benefit from by emulating.  One point talks about how health benefits alone outweigh the costs involved in making the transformation.  (For more on that see the following story.)
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The prestigious journal Lancet has issued a new study covering the unacceptably high risk of climate change on human health, reviewed by Tim Radford.  The latest annual report, which has more than 70 authors, pays particular attention to the projected rise in heat waves, noting that “Present-day changes in heat waves and labour capacity provide early warning of the compounded and overwhelming impact on public health that is expected if temperatures continue to rise.”
–The full text of the report is obtainable at no charge through this site:
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Flooding and persistent rainfall associated with climate change accelerates mold production that is both costly and adverse to health (Scientific American).  This article has the whole story, including some tips on what to do about it.
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Blocking sunlight by means of geoengineering is likely to be tested.  The preferred medium for the test will be calcium carbonate, not a sulfate.  No one likes the idea, but there is some logic involved:  “But if the world continues on its current emissions path, we might have to choose, in 2030 or 2040 or 2050, between the (quite bad) option of geoengineering and the (also quite bad) option of enduring and adapting to the effects of large-scale global warming. And the Harvard experiment could help us understand which of those two bad options would be worse.”  Sigh.
Carl

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