What are prospects for climate migration in the US? I found two stories about this today from knowledgeable sources. The first features Jeff Goodell, who has written a popular book about sea level rise. He is seeing and talking to bona fide refugees today, making him mindful of the dust bowl days in the 1930s.
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Scientific American has a story about climate migration with a focus on wildfires, droughts and hurricanes, which has clearly begun, and how most of the persons who are displaced are moving into cities. “Some estimates put that number as high as 1.5 million Americans having migrated in the face of such disasters, temporarily or permanently, to other parts of the country in 2017 alone.” The situation is likely to worsen, and ciy planners have their work cut out.
–Finally, this story about the sharp rise in coastal flooding in the US does not mention migration, but does highlight the damage it causes and the high cost of defending against future increases. From NOAA, “The flooding that used to occur only during major storms, and maybe once in a decade…..now occurs with regularity.”
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A perfect illustration of how the globe has warmed, decade by decade, since the 1880s. Among other things, it reveals the considerable differences between warming rates of the Northern and Southern hemispheres.
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There have been three lengthy slowdowns in the warming trend since 1891. A new study has taken great pains to identify the causes for each of them, all successfully attributed to observed natural events. The net forcings responsible for the two intervening warmup periods are also described, except that the reasons for the unusual warming peak over the oceans in the early 1940s has yet to be fully explained. (It is most often attributed to poor quality, uncoordinated measurements made during the war years.) The study concludes that, for the entire period of 1891-2015, “no important additional factors are needed to explain the two main warming and three main slowdown periods during this epoch.”
https://phys.org/news/2018-06-periods-global-slowdown-due-natural.htmlCarl