Climate Letter #1024

A report from last week’s geoengineering conference.  The most important “news” is that there were no major breakthroughs to report.  Most new information appears to have been focused on the risks that are involved with each of the covered technologies.  This result is already being reflected in reports to policymakers, who are being warned against relying on false hopes as a substitute for taking stronger actions to reduce emissions.  Some of the scientists privately expressed their opinion that there is practically no hope for keeping temperature gains below 2C without some kind of unexpected breakthrough in geoengineering.  “It will be very difficult to achieve the Paris agreement calls without some form of climate engineering,” Lawrence said. “It’s not impossible, but it’s hard to imagine we would make the major changes in our infrastructure and lifestyles in the time necessary.”

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–The Carbon Action Tracker website keeps regular track of where temperatures are headed based on two sorts of effects, one of which depends on all of the pledges made in Paris being fulfilled and the other after adjusting upward for the expected outcome of actual policies. The numbers, which include an uncertainty range, are available at this site:
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A new study predicts that typhoons will become 20% larger in size as well as having higher intensity.  It has to do with the altitude of cumulonimbus-type clouds, which become higher with global warming.  The unprecedented modeling effort was done in Japan using a supercomputer.  (The effect may have already shown itself this summer?)
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Spain and Portugal are having severe wildfires not unlike those in California, with 30 deaths.  Winds fanned by Hurricane Ophelia, a rarity in that part of the world, have been a factor.
–Californians are being told they should expect wildfires to continue worsening in the future, just as they have in recent decades.
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A story about solar-powered cars.  They actually exist, are not doing too badly, and some people believe they have a future.
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The world’s most crowded island.  The picture taken from above is incredible, and so is the entire story. from National Geographic.  There is no mention of either hurricanes or sea level rise.

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