Weather Map findings: Go to http://cci-reanalyzer.org/wx/DailySummary/#T2_anom (Temperature Anomaly). Today it is central Greenland that catches my eye, running some 35F (20C) above normal. That’s crazy–what could be the cause? If you switch to the Jetstream link you will see an absolutely ridiculous loopiness in the pattern, capable of bringing bundles of warm air up from the south. Then if you switch over to the Sea Surface Anomaly link you will see why that air is going to be much warmer than normal as it comes off the Atlantic. It seems that hardly anything is normal these days.
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An update on the atmospheric CO2 level. You will need to go the lower chart on the link below, which clearly shows a strong and steady decline in the level since May. Now that move is getting ready to make a sharp pivot and head up again, as it does every year toward the end of September. Comparing the placement of this pivot point with where it was a year before provides an excellent way to measure the rate at which the overall level is climbing. I can see a turn last year at 400.7 and expect the one this year to be very close to 403.7, based simply on imagining a center line drawn through the scattered path of daily readings. That difference of three full ppm is higher than it should be, with no El Nino to take the blame, nor have fossil fuel emissions been on the rise. Maybe it’s all due to forest fires? Or is there something else? The center line in the upper chart, unfortunately, shows no sign of deceleration. How and when is that going to change?
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A new worldwide energy forecast has been issued by the EIA. It expects emissions from burning fossil fuels to grow 16% by 2040, which would be a great disappointment. The agency has had a tendency to underestimate the future inroads of renewable energy, and that could very well be the case once again. That being said, their work is done in a competent way and represents a sobering appraisal of the powerful existing forces that those who want change are up against.
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What the rising level of CO2 is doing to our food supply. This lengthy article from POLITICO digs deeply into the junk-food effect. In short—“Every leaf and every grass blade on earth makes more and more sugars as CO2 levels keep rising,” Loladze said. “We are witnessing the greatest injection of carbohydrates into the biosphere in human history―[an] injection that dilutes other nutrients in our food supply.” What this means for humans is not really covered, but also not hard for one to imagine.
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The multiplying impacts due to the melting of glaciers are covered by a veteran journalist. Besides being a sure sign of global warming, as noted long ago by Al Gore, the effects on everyday life are substantial and growing.
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From Munich Re, a chart of global natural catastrophes 1980-2016. The upward pace of weather-related events is unmistakable. No surprise if 2017 tops them all.