Climate Letter #953

New findings from Yale’s annual survey of American beliefs and attitudes toward climate change.  Much to chew on here, including the fact that the new administration’s policies are out of keeping with the majority of people in a way that is growing. “The survey shows that 58% of the public now accepts that climate change is mostly caused by human activity, which is the highest level ever recorded of public acceptance of the human role in climate change since Yale began conducting these studies in 2008.”

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Two more interesting points about the poll that were somehow overlooked in the story above. The main surprise is that 39% of Americans believe there is at least a 50/50 chance that climate change will result in human extinction, which is the highest number since the survey began.  Also of interest, “About a quarter of respondents said providing a better life for younger generations is the most important reason to reduce global warning, with 16 percent of respondents saying that preventing the destruction of most life on Earth is the most important reason.”
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More  insights into the recent study about two-stage global warming (reviewed here yesterday.)  This is a critical topic that lacks consensus among scientists, and because of the large differences involved needs somehow to be resolved.  “Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, said that new paper provides independent backing for recent work from his unit and elsewhere. He concludes that projections of future warming derived from recorded temperature trends “are biased low.”
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What will the G20 finally have to say about climate change?  It won’t be able to issue a strong statement over the objections of Donald Trump, and issuing a weak statement of compromise would send a bad message to all of countries that are enthused about the Paris accord.  Maybe this group should just stick to economic issues, where they all have the same ultimate goal but are expected to have issues over the best way to get there.
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California is looking for Republican help in reaching agreement on a carbon tax.  The trouble is that the tax would be of the cap-and-trade type, where the numbers can be manipulated in ways friendly to business and the end result is always much weaker than by just imposing a direct levy.  Said Governor Brown, “Our goal is to reach an agreement and that means facilitating the exchange of ideas and language.”  Environmentalists are rightfully angry about it.

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