Climate Letter #764

The surge in western wildfires is definitively linked to climate change.  A new report claims that the statistical analysis showing the specific effects of higher temperatures is convincing.  Moreover, “The effect of warming on fire activity is actually exponential…..That means that every degree of warming has a bigger impact than the previous degree of warming.”

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New information shows an unexpected cooling effect from the presence of trees.  It comes in the form of particles that add to the kind of cloud formation that reflects sunlight.  The dimming effect of industrial pollutants is similar, and is now thought of as in part merely serving as a replacement for the loss of dimming caused by extensive global losses of forest cover during the industrial era.  Climate models may need some adjusting for this effect.
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Check out the beachfront housing in the opening video of this post, caused by Hurricane Matthew:
Now compare it with some beachfront housing in Ghana, on the other side of the ocean, superbly photographed:
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A chart showing global clean energy investment for the last ten years.  The basic trend is up, about doubling, but also highly irregular.  Recent quarters have slumped, even below 2014 levels, which is concerning.  Rapidly falling prices are influential over the entire span.  China and Japan have both dropped off more than 50% lately, for reasons almost sure to be temporary.
Goldman Sachs has quietly been setting a good example as a major source of financial backing for renewables:.
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Germany wants to ban the sale of combustion engine cars by 2030, and is pushing for the entire EU to follow:
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A story about how the effort to close the Ozone hole was finally realized.  The problem of that time is in many ways paralleled by the problem we now have in finding a cure for climate change.  The formula for success today is probably a bit more complicated.

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