Climate Letter #673

The oil train derailment in Oregon.  This is the latest in a long string of such events, as detailed in this post.  On a positive note, 2016 looks like a year of improvement, but transportation of both oil and gas will always add an extra layer of risk to their use as the primary source of energy.

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An argument against climate action that is getting publicity.  It comes from an engineering professor at Cambridge who is not a denier, in that he largely accepts the IPCC findings, and is apparently well-respected.  He thinks the Paris plan of action costs too much, would do considerable economic damage and almost surely not get the results that are hoped for in the effort to replace fossil energy with renewables.  He also points to the uncertainties inherent in all scientific forecasts.  His hopes for mitigation lie mostly with carbon capture (CCS) and nuclear rejuvenation.  I believe this way of thinking has widespread acceptance within the engineering class, also among those addicted to the proven benefits of cheap and reliable fossil energy and those who believe economic growth should never be interrupted for any reason, all of whom might celebrate this professor as a sort of standard bearer.  It is an attitude that employs false optimism to reject the higher levels of risk that climate science includes within its broad definition of what is at stake.
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An interesting theory related to climate history.  This helps to explain the cooling process during the Little Ice Age a few hundred years ago.  It also helps to clarify the importance of deforestation in our own time, and the potential benefits of a strong reversal.
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India’s brutal heat wave has now lasted more than two months.  Monsoon rains are anxiously awaited, due to arrive in just days.
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The growth of environmental crime.  It has become a huge industry, and is growing at an “alarming pace,” as described in this fine report from Reuters.  Environmental crime is doubly sad because so little is done by government agencies that should be ordered to interfere with those responsible.
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A recent lecture covering many of the basics of climate science at college grad level.  If you have an hour or so to spare this one by the president of the NAS at U of Cal Berkeley moves fast and includes up-to-date information.  In the Q&A at the end he adds some good points about the water vapor feedback and cloud studies, which are relevant to the rainfall with flooding patterns we have been seeing so much of lately.
Carl

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