Climate Letter #567

Disappointing news from India.  It seems there is no way to safely predict what is going to happen in India’s energy future.  The cost of solar energy is plunging (see Climate Letter #563) and ready for a boom, but policies still tend to run in the direction of adding more coal-burning capacity.  Coal imports are on the way to being eliminated, to be replaced by domestic resources that are now open to private interests.  As a result, coal is expected to improve on its 60% share of the electric power industry, which in turn is scheduled for dramatic growth as it follows the same path taken by China in recent decades.  Lobbying power, which is already effective, is sure to grow as the mining industry grows. What does this mean for the global carbon budget?

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The Obama administration will help raise funds for a major oil pipeline in Kenya.  This will open Kenya to development of a large oil resource, enabling it to join the family of oil exporters while giving a boost to its economy.  Do not ask questions.
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Hydropower in tropical rainforests is criticized.  More than 450 dams in such locations are on the drawing board.  A new study is highly critical, for numerous reasons.  “Hydroelectric dams create a huge impact on climate, biodiversity and people’s health. This study alerts us to the large-scale impact of dams in tropical forests, and if these projected dams are built, we will have a worse scenario for climate change than we would expect.”
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Signs are pointing toward a heavy wildfire season in Australia.  Just one fire has already burned 143,000 acres and is not yet contained.  Some of the worst ever fires for this country occurred in February 1983, at the peak of a strong El Nino event.  The potential for heat waves is not being overlooked.
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Record temperatures and persistent drought in South Africa.  The deepest part of Africa sits at the same latitude as Australia, with much similarity in climate conditions.
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A new study favors renewable energy development in Central Asia.  Resources, technology and economics are all favorable, with benefits easily surpassing continued fossil fuel usage.  All that is missing is political will.
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A NASA oceanographer talks about the El Nino process and its impacts, with an exceptionally clear message.
Carl

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