Climate Letter #526

Behind the hopes and dreams of the Paris conference there are some hard numbers.  These have to be carefully studied in order to appreciate the true nature of the challenge at hand.  Chris Mooney, who has adopted some of the arguments of master hawk Kevin Anderson, offers a very helpful guide that leaves no room for false optimism.

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How Europe is affected by climate change, or soon will be.  Every part of the world has its own peculiar set of disturbances and fears.  This post tells much of that story as it applies to Europe.
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New method of observing ocean circulation, by satellite.  Early results tend to confirm the reduced strength of the AMOC, or Atlantic Gulf Stream, as previously detected in more direct ways.  Refinement of the technique can lead to better understanding of how AMOC and other substantial currents are likely to progress and alter regionally related climates.
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Some interesting international polling results tied to climate change.  Much of the material is familiar, but I want to point out the polka-dot graph, if you scroll down, that shows the correlation for each nation between the intensity of per capita emissions and the level of serious concern about global damage.  Aside from how the US and Australia are uniquely positioned there are many messages to be learned and many curiosities to wonder about.
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More Republican politicians are breaking ranks on climate change.  The reason for some may be little more than a calculated best path to reelection, which is nothing unusual but it says something about how the interests of the voting public are shifting.  As an added thought, next year’s election may be especially interesting if every candidate is required to declare whether they are for or against reversing Obama’s Keystone decision.  It is likely to be an active issue since several presidential candidates have vowed to push for reversal if elected.
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Advanced studies of the link between extreme weather events and human activities.  This is a specialized field of climate science that has been making progress in finding dependable signs of whether or not a connection can be claimed.  The results are not always intuitive.  This post provides a good discussion, including some recent examples.
Carl

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