Climate Letter #478

The nature of the challenge for the US to reach 100% renewable energy by 2050.  Here is a detailed look at Mark Jacobson’s analysis, acclaimed as one that is fairly realistic.  Note the requirement to reduce total energy demand by 40% through efficiency gains, plus the need for an unprecedented level of government activism.  The most hopeful part is that the replacement energy sources are there to be had, and not unreasonably costly.  The absence of strong public motivation is still a deterrent.

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An impressive new gigafactory under construction in Buffalo by Solar City.  The company plans to produce high-efficiency panels that will allow the size of a given installation to be reduced by 25%, along with costs that are competitive with Chinese exports.
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An update on India’s renewable energy development.  There is a steady trend of improvement at many levels, which includes hefty foreign investment.  India simply cannot follow the path once taken by China if the world is to have any hope of achieving climate stability.
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How bad can hurricanes get?  Kerry Emanuel is a noted authority in hurricane science. He and a co-author reveal what the very worst ones could be like, but thankfully limited to certain specified locations, and only on very rare occasions.
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How global warming will affect today’s tropical forests.  An interesting experiment reveals that such forests will survive and eventually thrive under extreme warming scenarios, but will be much different from those we now know.
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All about floating turbine designs and their potential for capturing tidal wave energy.  Floating turbines have significant advantages over designs that are fixed in place to the ocean bottom, and offer viable opportunity.
Carl

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