Climate Letter #463

How to construct an El Nino forecast.  Here is a website that will tell you everything you want to know, provided by NOAA.  It is neatly shown as a power point presentation, mostly comprehensible, completely up to date.  One conclusion is that the current El Nino phase should continue to strengthen until the end of this year and then remain strong through spring.

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Two new studies of invertebrate extinction.  One shows dramatic losses in Hawaii, the other, which is much more broad, extrapolates losses to date of about 7% of all animal species, 99% of which are invertebrates.  An assortment of human activities, topped off by climate change, is generally held responsible.
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The ongoing boom in wind energy in the U.S.  A survey of several new reports, by Chris Mooney for the Washington Post.  Installed capacity now produces enough electricity to power 17.5 million homes, or to meet 5% of all the nation’s needs.  The wholesale price is now just 2.35 cents per kwh.  There are many more positive numbers, all of which indicate a continuing boom even with tax credits expiring.
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A case study in how big carbon is influencing politicians.  This time it’s Jeb Bush who is on the receiving end, and saying things that will please the donors.  Connections like this, just like everything else, should be fully exposed to public view.
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A new proposal in paleoclimate science.  For those who have an interest in these things, this one relates to the extraordinary mass extinction of 252 million years ago, with a whole new twist.
Carl

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