Climate Letter #417

Posted on June 8, 2015 by Carl Campbell
Monthly CO2 report for May.  The amount of year-to-year gain, 2.16 ppm, about equals the average amount of such gains every month for the past ten years.  As we wait for emissions to decline we can only be glad for the lack of acceleration.

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New study of jet stream behavior.  This from Jennifer Francis and her group at Rutgers.  The study supports her earlier theories linking the warmer Arctic to the increased waviness of the jet stream and the persistence of ridges, causing extreme weather conditions that can linger on at length.  The theories have not yet been fully endorsed by all other climate scientists, but that may be in line for a change?
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China’s emissions may peak by 2025 (or sooner) rather than 2030.  This is very good news, from a study made by a prestigious group in London, supporting the idea that a 2C temperature limit may be possible after all.  “Whether the world can get onto that pathway (to 2 C) in the decade or more after 2020 depends in significant part on China’s ability to reduce its emissions at a rapid rate post-peak…” said the new paper.  The study’s optimism is backed by observing actual deeds, not just promises.
http://phys.org/news/2015-06-chinese-emissions-peak-analysis.html

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Scenes from China, about why that nation’s embracing of coal has reversed itself.  A good reminder of how valuable the EPA has been for the U.S.
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More on what all must be done to actually stop temperature gains at 2C.  “For a good chance of attaining the 2 C limit, global annual carbon emissions must fall by 40 to 70 percent by 2050 compared to 2010 levels—and to zero or below by 2100, the IPCC says.”  Total emissions must decline dramatically, and almost every nation needs to somehow participate, in spite of endless reasons not to, which will have to be overcome.
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Results of a global poll on climate action.  This unusual one-day poll was spread across 75 countries.  Once again, people everywhere say they are very concerned, and want more action taken, but have reservations about the imposition of carbon taxes if they hit home.

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