Climate Letter #1588

2019 was the (close) second hottest year on record (Phys.org).  From the leading climate monitor in the EU:  “The year 2019 was the second hottest ever recorded and a virtual tie with 2016, the warmest El Nino year…..The five last years have been the hottest on record, and the period of 2010-2019 was the hottest decade since records began…..Earth’s temperature over the last five years was 1.1C-1.2C warmer than pre-industrial times.”  There was no forecast for 2020, but this year has not started well in its first week.

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–A different kind of report about these new records has a good way of demonstrating certain special effects, especially El Nino and La Nina, on the outcome for each year.  It also provides some extra context provided by scientific studies issued in recent months (Yale Climate Connections).
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A special report on what is happening to winter temperatures in the far north regions of Europe and Russia (Phys.org).  Some examples:  “The trend is clear: in the last 15 years, and especially in the last 10, winter has been shortened by a month and a half on average…..In southern Finland where temperatures in December were 4.5C degrees higher than normal, winter has not even begun yet…..By 2050, more than one million Norwegians will live in areas with less than a month of winter…..some parts of Siberia, one of the coldest places in the world where temperatures have reached 20C degrees higher than normal.”
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Scientists are saying that Australia’s forest system is unlikely to recover to where it was before the current fires (Inside Climate News).  “In many ways, it’s the definition of a tipping point, as ecosystems transform from one type into another…..The projections were seen as remote, something that would happen much farther in the future.  But it’s happening now. Nobody saw it coming this soon, even though it was like a freight train.  It’s likely the forests won’t be coming back as we know them.”  And from Penn State scientist Michael Mann, “…the heartbreaking loss of irreplaceable forests in Australia is a clear sign of a climate tipping point playing out before our eyes. Similar scenarios are apparent in forests around the world.”
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A whole new way to produce protein without farming is in the works (The Guardian).  George Monbiot has visited labs on the outskirts of Helsinki and seen how it is being done today.  No new technology is involved in creating a rich protein flour with multiple nutritional applications badly needed in the years immediately ahead of us.  According to Monbiot, “After 12,000 years of feeding humankind, all farming except fruit and veg production is likely to be replaced by ferming: brewing microbes through precision fermentation. This means multiplying particular micro-organisms, to produce particular products, in factories.”  It’s a fascinating story.
–A similar report has been issued by an environmental analyst who works for BBC and has also visited the laboratory.   He is likewise encouraged by the prospects for this venture, and so are others.  “Research by the think tank RethinkX, which forecasts the implications of technology-driven disruption of many kinds, suggests that proteins from precision fermentation will be around 10 times cheaper than animal protein by 2035.”
Carl

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