Climate Letter #1510

Highlights from a 3-day international conference on how to achieve net-zero carbon emissions, sponsored by the University of Oxford (Carbon Brief).  A lot here to look at from the minds of world-class professionals.

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Two of the world’s iconic glacial structures, located near the Equator, are becoming unrecognizable (The Daily Galaxy).  “Climate change is wrecking havoc with two of our planet’s icons: Ecuador’s glacier-studded Mount Chimborazo -the highest spot on our planet- and Peru’s Quelccaya, which until recently was the world’s largest tropical ice cap.”  Complete disappearance is a distinct possibility.  “According to the team’s models, the central Andes can expect to see future temperature increases ranging from 3 to 5 degrees Celsius depending on the region, model and emission scenario, by the end of the 21st century.”
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What if the Arctic melts, and we lose the great white shield? (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists).  This interview with an environmental policy expert covers a range of climate issues in a rather blunt manner.  He sees a possibility that Arctic sea ice will abruptly disappear in as little as five years (more likely around fifteen) and when it goes the loss of albedo will give a large boost to global temperatures.  Overall, “When we look at these trends, we realize that everything we’ve learned over half a century of studies shows that the climate problem is getting worse faster than we thought before. Everything shows that the positive feedbacks are kicking in, and we’ve had no luck yet in finding something in the natural system that’s going to slow them down.”
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A report about numbers of persons forced to leave their homes in the first half of this year because of conflicts and natural disasters (Thomson Reuters Foundation).  “Natural disasters such as cyclones and floods caused 7 million people to leave their homes, while a further 3.8 million fled conflict and violence, said the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC).”  One cyclone (Fani) caused 3.4 million displacements, viewed as a success in terms of effective warning procedures.  “Many of those forced to flee suffered losses but survived and were ultimately able to return home.
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A discussion of current realities surrounding the legal status of climate refugees (VICE).  Migration motivated by environmental forces, including climate change, is not covered by international laws designed to protect refugees.  “The climate crisis has already created millions of invisible refugees and could create up to 1.5 billion more in the nest thirty years.  But under international law no country is obliged to take them in…..We have no idea where they’ll go.”
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TIME magazine has devoted an entire issue to climate change, calling it a true crisis.  You can read practically all of it right here in a series of expert opinions about what can be done for remediation.
Carl

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