Climate Letter #1431

A good look at all of the ecosystem services provided by healthy soil, including the storage of carbon (The Conversation).  The author is a professor who grew up in Ireland.  Soil has a key role in enabling the sustainability of life on this planet—if we treat it right.

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Spending large sums on US infrastructure can incorporate climate benefits (Newsweek).  This was written by Michael Mann, a prominent climate scientist who believes we have no more time to waste on finding solutions.  “An infrastructure package, on its own, won’t go nearly far enough toward making the economy-wide changes necessary to stave off what’s coming if we don’t act. But could be a very good first step in the right direction, at a time when we’re otherwise running headlong towards disaster.”
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Large uncertainties in predicting future climate changes are tied to understanding variations in the temperature of tropical Pacific Ocean surface waters (Phys.org).  A new study has made this determination by looking at different models that can plug in a variety of different assumptions but lack good data to back them up.  “The available observation data from the Pacific are in many areas only patchy, therefore, the results of the various simulations show such a strong spread…..significantly more and better observation data are needed in order to improve the quality of climate predictions.”
Comment:  The tropical Pacific Ocean provides a major proportion of the water vapor that rises to the upper atmosphere and then tries to spread out over higher latitudes, where it has the most warming effect, as an alternative to just raining out.  The green colors on the chart below show where the strongest sources of evaporation are located, basically matching the warmest surface temperatures.  There is much more room for green to show up in the eastern tropical Pacific and likewise in the Atlantic, but climate models have difficulty putting together all the changes that are required in addition to the expected provision of more heat accumulation due to increases in the CO2 level.  There is a big difference between 50-60 kilograms, or more, of evaporated water (per square meter) and just 30 kg from nearby surfaces.  It all has a relatively short life once airborne, and it all faces a variety of obstacles on the pathways of diffusion, as plainly evident on this or any other example of these daily charts.
Inline image
Also worth noting, the patch of bright blue covering many southeastern states in the US is being translated into a number of record high temperatures for this date.  Vapor that has penetrated the Arctic area north of Alaska is also having a pronounced warming effect.
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An extremely dangerous wildfire is burning in northern Alberta (CBC).  There is not much that can be done about it.  The picture is amazing.
Carl

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