Climate Letter #1356

A scale has been created for rating the strength and impact of “atmospheric rivers.”  It is similar to the rating system for hurricanes, except that in this case the weakest ones are largely beneficial while the strongest are primarily hazardous.  Actual examples are given in this story.

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–More in-depth information about these rivers and the rating system from Scientific American:
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In Queensland, Australia, a combination of severe and prolonged drought was quickly followed by massive flooding.  For cattle ranchers the result has been utterly disastrous.  The seasonality itself is normal, but having one extreme followed by another is intolerable
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Scientists have found a direct link between climate change and the decline of kelp forests.  Previous studies had mainly linked the decline around Australia to the work of invasive species.  This research suggests that kelp forests all over the world are in danger from certain diseases caused by ocean warming and acidification.  “The study has implications for the health and resilience of entire marine ecosystems…..The impact of losing the kelp forests would be the same as cutting down all the trees on the land. All the animals would be affected. It is the same in the oceans. If we lose the physical structure of the habitat, we lose the ecosystems.”
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An interview with an expert on the relationship between the US and China with respect to climate change policies and cooperation.  Kelly Sims Gallagher was co-author of the new book, Titans of the Climate: Explaining Policy Process in the United States and China (MIT Press).  The questions are pointed and her answers are straight.  The relationship is pivotal to the future of the Paris Agreement and what it means for life on the planet.  “It all depends on the next presidential election in the U.S. If Trump wins, I feel very pessimistic, both about the U.S.-China relationship and about our ability to deal with climate change. You just don’t know how much longer countries will put up with this kind of behavior. That vicious cycle is more likely to ensue.”
https://phys.org/news/2019-02-climate.html?
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Global temperature data for 2018 from the James Hansen website.  This data is based on the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) analysis, making use of an 1880-1920 baseline temperature average as a suitable proxy for the pre-industrial average–which completely lacks a viable database to draw from.  Note that the almost perfect straight line uptrend since the early ’70s will soon be fifty years old, covering more than a 0.8C increase so far in that stretch.  Scroll down and take a good look at the land and ocean trend data, which cries out for analysis that the science community seldom gives much attention to.  I will soon give you my own updated interpretation of.what those figures mean, and portend.
Carl

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