“The greenhouse energy effect of atmospheric rivers”
This is a subject I will be writing about for awhile, and not so much about the greenhouse effect of precipitable water (PW). This is a conceptual upgrade, one that I am excited about. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are better defined than PW, yet still not completely defined in a normal scientific sense. There is no widespread agreement on exactly what constitutes an AR, and no thorough investigation of its properties. A few years ago most references to ARs placed emphasis on massive size. Nothing less than an AR could produce massive amounts of rainfall, usually requiring the river to travel across a large stretch of open ocean before making landfall and disgorging its contents. Anything else that traveled high in the atmosphere and produced ordinary rainfall, or any other kind of precipitation, had to be distinguished by different and less colorful terminology. I think AR is steadily becoming more inclusive of high-altitude streams of water vapor, plus condensation products, of all shapes and sizes. The next step will be the full development of a comprehensive set of properties that characterize these streams. It will be hard to keep ignoring the evidence that they have a greenhouse energy effect, which happens to be quite substantial
The term AR should end up representing something very special in the natural world. Its contents are special, likewise its behavior high in the atmosphere, and so also its properties. It begins life with water vapor going up, and comes to an end as precipitation coming back down. It never does stop moving. Each river is a separate and distinct unit, a sort of society that could have its own name. New members keep being added for a time while others are dying off, and finally the whole thing disbands. As long as the river endures its members are packed together in close association, from which a unique set of properties can emerge. The greenhouse effect that emerges is definitely unique in comparison with all other greenhouse effects that are recognized by science, but that is not a reason for ignoring its reality.
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Carl