Today there are not many stories to choose from, but I have found one that deals in a thoughtful and timely way with the most fundamental issues surrounding public attitude development. David Roberts is a climate change journalist who is well-qualified to handle that job in a realistic way. He covers a lot of ground in this essay and adds links to several pieces of specialized work that are also worth taking time to read. The idea that truly radical changes are required is not easy for most people to assimilate, but any other approach to possible avoidance of a catastrophic outcome looks less and less convincing as the years roll by.
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Roberts makes several references by link to a rather tough-minded group called the Institute for New Economic Thinking, which he clearly draws some of his ideas from. They have produced a paper exposing the destructive nature of popular attitudes that support unchecked economic growth, a view that certainly needs to be taken seriously. This link gives you access to the publication, on PDF. They have other papers available that also look interesting.
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Looking ahead to a new year, I always wonder about what purpose these letters serve and whether there is a way to make them more relevant. There are all kinds of needs to be met, depending on each person in the audience, and no way to serve them all. My highest priority has been to address those persons who have an interest in the science involved, want to learn more about its many principles and nuances, and wish to be alerted to anything that is new and possibly important. The motivation to act on behalf of the climate is something that should come naturally, but I believe motivation can always use strengthening, and the best way to strengthen it—for practically everyone—is through deepening of the underlying knowledge. The study of climate change is only partly about the knowledge of existing facts, which have become largely indisputable. The hard part is about making the best possible assessments of what happened in the past, long before any written records were kept, and then to draw the clearest possible picture of what is most likely to happen in the future, either within or beyond control by human behavior, and always more uncertain than we wish.
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There is a bit of new science that helps to explain the way Earth’s climate changed in the past as a result of natural fluctuations in the atmospheric CO2 level. The change we are making today in that level is much, much more rapid, but it seems reasonable to expect that the outcome would be comparable.
Carl