The central claim of Carl’s theory, part 1, is that the greenhouse energy output of precipitable water (PW) is almost completely determined by the total molecular weight of all the PW that exists in a column of air extending to the top of the atmosphere above any surface location of limited area. This means the energy output is not significantly affected by proportional changes in the material state of the H20 molecules within the column. This is something nature tells us, that we have only now learned for the first time, but is still subject to verification. It means scientists no longer need to search for separate greenhouse effects from each of the two major components of PW that are known to be productive, a task that is frustrated by the absence of useful data related to the highly erratic and constantly changing geographical distribution of each of these components. This problem vanishes when PW’s greenhouse effect is treated as a holistic uniformity. We have all of the actual data required for comparing changes in the total molecular weight of PW and changes in surface temperatures at countless numbers of specific locations over an extended period of history. Based on data of partly reduced quality, Carl’s theory predicts a uniform outcome of 10C per double of PW weight, applicable to any individual locality and always of temporary duration.
Part 2 of Carl’s theory represents an effort to explain why it is, in fact, that individual locations in many parts of the globe experience substantial swings in average daily temperature, either above or below average, by as much as 20C or even more, when time of year is not the reason. Using the same data that was used in part 1 to calculate the temperature effects of PW due to its changes in atmospheric concentration we can usually find a realistic answer, but that leaves us with a whole new set of questions about PW itself. Why are there some days when it doubles or redoubles from a known average for the day, raising the temperature by 10 or 20C, and other days when it may be just half or a quarter of its historically average weight, causing temperatures to be lower by similar numbers? The difference between the lowest and highest of weights works out to something like 1600%. Surface humidity never seems to make changes anywhere near those extents. What can cause actual PW readings to be so extremely different? Also, why do we observe that the size of temperature anomalies tends to run relatively small in the low latitudes of each hemisphere and become progressively larger through the middle and upper latitudes?
Part 2 of the theory provides the answer in the form of an entire bundle of different pieces of information. All of the pieces come together in the form of natural phenomena and their interlocking relationships, which are marked by constant activity. Most of this activity occurs in the upper part of the troposphere, in similar fashion in each hemisphere but almost entirely away from the interior parts of the tropical belt. In effect, nature has set up two stages, one in the north and one in the south, both are which are mainly identified with the activity of jetstream winds that circulate in intermittent and wavering bands throughout all parts of these stages while leaving open spaces between the bands. Significant concentrations of water vapor, rising from warm ocean waters and rainforests along the borders of the tropical belt and formed into streams, find their way into these upper atmosphere stage settings, where they quickly begin.to interact with the prevailing jetstream winds. Imagery of incredibly fine detail is available on websites that show these interactions evolve, in multiplicity and with a great variety of endings. This is where a meaningful portion of all the PW in the atmosphere takes on bizarre intensities of concentration over a great range of differing weights. Greenhouse energy effects are at all times consistent with those weights and are simply added to the more stable effects generated by the weight of whatever PW exists in the air directly below.
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