For the past year these letters have been devoted to study and interpretation of the Climate Weather Maps. They have taught me many things about what I have come to believe is the way nature really works–even when there is a dearth of corroboration from the sciences. The findings for the most part have been reported with illustrations giving visual evidence. One prominent result of this effort explains the deep connection between holistically-viewed precipitable water (PW) and daily temperature anomalies, including the various and rather extraordinary features that cause it all to happen. Those features closely involve the overall behavior of jetstream winds, which in turn are closely governed by the way air pressure differentials in the upper troposphere happen to be set up over the course of any given day. The maps spell out all of these connections with a high degree of consistency, day after day, which I try to report as objectively as I can.
The everyday temperature anomalies that we end up with, covering about two-thirds of the planet, all outside of the tropical belt, tend to have substantial variations in magnitude, both hot and cold, for which corresponding PW values provide the dominant explanation. The anomalies also display practically unlimited variations in shape and location, based on the simple fact that total PW values at all locations keep changing from day to day. For any given day, at any given location, the result must be a historical average, and each new day must be either the same as or a departure from that average. By necessity the departures would be expected to strike a rough balance between up days and down days. Sadly, there is no map available that will quickly provide all of those historical averages in a handy, visual weather map format, but the data is out there, somewhere, ready to be assembled.
It’s always good to know how nature really works, in part to satisfy our normal human curiosity, and also because the knowledge might be practical in some way. It might even contain useful clues to the future, which in the case of climate science might be a subject of real importance. This leads to a basic opening up the question of whether or not all the particular things I have been talking about, if they truly represent the workings of nature, have future implications that have not yet been taken into account. We know that the daily average of all temperatures, taken in totality, must be rising in concert with the monthly and yearly trends that are being reported. In that case they could be the inevitable effect of whatever governs the long-term trends, which is more or less what science tells us. Or is it possible, as an alternative, that forces are lurking within the everyday processes we are seeing that could emerge in an additive way with possible long-term effects of their own, having unanticipated consequences?
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Carl