Climate Letter #349

How to increase vulnerability to drought. This rather simple study draws a conclusion that seems obvious when you think about it. In a nutshell, a year of low precipitation does not ensure that drought will happen. A drought, which is mainly defined by extraordinary loss of soil moisture, also requires a year of abnormal warmth that coincides. California’s excessive exposure to drought is thus mainly the result of more and more years being abnormally warm, due to the new climate regime. (Much better said in the story!)

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This is not pretty. Ocean surface temperatures for much of the northeastern Pacific off the coast of North America have been well above average for many months now. Robert Fanney, who has the right set of tools and is pretty good at these things, makes a connection between this warmth and the state of low oxygen levels in the same region,  all of which is very hard on marine life. This condition, much like the devastation of coral reefs, has likely reached a level of maximum danger.
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Outlook for energy storage costs. This is from Deutsch Bank, which finances such things and cannot afford to be wrong. It could hardly be more optimistic about developments in the battery world, which is broadly surveyed for this report. Actual costs of storage are dropping by around 30% per year. Utilities are particularly responsive for now, because every kind of power source can be saved, but this is just the beginning and ultimately renewable energy will gain the most.
The same bank report also has comments that are more bullish than most on the outlook for solar power development in India.
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Update on solar development in the U.S. This post contains a fine map showing how photovoltaic resources are distributed across the states, and another showing which states are most active. The East Coast, especially North Carolina, is taking advantage of its resources, along with California. Some others could do much better. For utilities, it seems to take some pushing.
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Update on China’s pollution documentary. After two days, 175 million views. The government is clearly OK with it, in spite of being heartily criticized. Interesting.
Carl

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