A new message from Climate Code Red, by David Spratt. This one is based on leaks of what the IPCC is likely to be reporting in the near future, for reasons that are politically motivated, about how we can meet the 1.5C target that was optimistically introduced at the Paris conference. David explains the whole situation quite well and then reiterates most of the basic reasons for why that goal is already out of reach, with the 2.0 target on course to follow. The IPCC does not represent the views of scientists like Michael Mann, James Hansen, Stefan Rahmstorf and many others who do the hard research and accept the hard numbers. There is a lot in this report that’s worth thinking about, and then keeping in mind when the IPCC actually makes its own report.
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See what the Germans are doing to help reduce carbon emissions (Thomson Reuters Foundation). They are constructing a new lignite coal mine that is large enough to require the elimination of twenty villages. A picture gives some idea of its immense size. “Germany’s Environmental Agency says the Federal Mining Act prioritises the extraction of raw materials over the interests of the common good.” That is the current reality of government policies almost everywhere. It’s another example of why the target of holding temperatures below 2.0C is in big trouble.
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What will rapid sea level rise be like for large coastal cities? Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia, provides a great example because much of the city is currently sinking at rates exceeding all such expectations, even up to one meter every four years in some places. This is happening because of the excessive pumping of groundwater with no other sources available and no end in sight. BBC News has produced a fine documentary, well-illustrated.
The Los Angeles Times seems to believe that the climate we are in right now is more than dangerous. The state has already taken many positive steps to mitigate climate change as a good policy, and is now experiencing some very practical reasons for being yet more aggressive. http://www.latimes.com/local/california/la-me-lopez-climate-action-08122018-story.html
How much of a forest’s carbon is released by a wildfire? Researchers are now saying only 15% is released by the fire itself, with the charred remainder following over an extended period. In California, ironically, the total of such emissions and others that are related are now large enough to offset many of the gains being made by the state’s progressive climate change policies.
Carl