Climate Letter #1182

The ill effects of climate change will not be equally distributed.  There is new research on this topic, discussed in this post by the two authors of a principal study.  “In general, missing the 1.5C limit and reaching 2C of warming will mean a more palpable change in local temperatures in the tropics than at higher latitudes.”  Wealthier populations will experience less pain, and also have more resources enabling them to adapt.  Thus, the lack of action in industrialized societies that are causing the change will have a price, but the largest share of that price will be paid by others.

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China’s annual CO2 emissions are again accelerating upward, into new high ground.  There were small declines in 2015 and 2016, which have now been thoroughly overtaken.  China is the number one emissions leader of the industrialized world.
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The Canadian government is taking over the Trans Mountain pipeline and plans to complete it.  “There is a very strong business case for this pipeline,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau told Bloomberg Television, saying the government takeover meant “a lot of the legal barriers and a lot of the challenge points actually disappear”.
–Bill MKibben, writing for The Guardian, has some choice comments about Justin Trudeau’s actions and reasoning:
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Also from The Guardian, here is a sharp analysis by Dana Nuccitelli on what motivates the Trump administration and his (literally) Republican Party when it comes to climate action.  There is nothing to be gained that compares with the potential losses of specific corporate profits that provide the financial support the party now depends on in order to exist.
–Extra comment:
I think the Republican Party will continue to exist, but only as a stripped-down entity that remains firmly under the control of far-right conservatives.  The more moderate types will be looking for a new home, which will not necessarily be the Democratic Party.  The Democrats may have moved a little too far to the left in recent years, literally forcing out the conservative wing that was once an accepted minority.  Unless that is quickly reversed there is plenty of space for one or more new parties to emerge, and at least one of them should set up a platform that openly features accelerated climate action and a full restoration of environmental protection and enforcement among its topmost priorities.
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More information about the harmful impact of the modern way of meeting food demand—the most fundamental of all human needs.  A report in yesterday’s letter told of how all aspects of the practice are responsible for about one-half of total anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.  The study reviewed in this post gives us, among other things, one interesting detail behind that number.  “Specifically, the livestock sector is worth approximately 14.5% of all greenhouse gas emissions – approximately that of the entire greenhouse gas emissions of the United States.”  Of that, and all the other food-related emissions, I wonder how much has nothing to do with burning fossil fuels—perhaps half, or even more?  This is a problem that renewable energy substitution by itself will never fix.  Can we completely change the way we eat?  Not too many years ago a majority of people around the world lived on small farms and pretty much ate from their own production!
Carl

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