CO2 report for January. The increase of 2.16ppm from a year ago is exactly on track with the trend of the past few years, or the average gain for this decade. For now there is no sign of acceleration of annual gains. I am looking for a bit of deceleration over the rest of the decade if China and India both change their ways on coal consumption, as more or less promised.
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What are things like in China? The two videos in this post contain information from reputable sources. I find it believable, but at the same time inconceivable—how could any country let things go so far awry? Apart from remedial action it apears that the only choice may be to perish, or at least collapse. The problem here is not CO2, or climate change as we think of it, but all of the other effects of producing and burning massive amounts of coal and petroleum. Perhaps the most critical outcome for much of the country is the drawdown of water supplies to the vanishing point. Things will necessarily change, in a profound way. India, which is on the same track, will probably catch on to the danger and make changes as well. None of this depends on any need to make deals with other countries.
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Focus on atmospheric rivers. The concept of “atmospheric rivers” became popularized just a year or two ago, and scientific understanding is still quite minimal. They are truly interesting phenomena, especially the rare ones that become concentrated for days over any one area. If you are not familiar with these events this post will give you a good start, along with a possible connection to global warming.
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An analysis of several recent U.S. climate change polls. Nothing new, except for a few reenforcing details. Public opinion is shifting, albeit slowly, and the gap with the new Congress keeps growing. Breaking through as a potent election issue cannot be too far off.
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Another review of the recent CO2 history study, from Scientific American. A good solid review, if you missed the ones I published yesterday. Also, a point is made about how the warm period study did not reveal any extraordinary impact from any of the major feedback phenomena that many scientists today are openly worried about. That is a bit reassuring, although not conclusive, since circumstances have changed in several ways.
Carl