Climate Letter #1172

The latest research tied to global drought conditions (Carbon Brief).  This article is full of information about how to define drought, how it is projected into the future and how conservation of rainwater can be helpful.  Also, as expected, “The most recent research shows climate change is already making many parts of the world drier and droughts are likely to pack more punch as the climate warms further.”
https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-climate-change-is-already-making-droughts-worse

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A recent development in global production and trade arrangements is undermining efforts to control carbon emissions.  A new study finds that smaller developing countries are replacing China as a source of production for export, with less pollution control.  “The carbon intensity of the next phase of global economic development will determine whether ambitious climate targets such as stabilizing at 2 °C will be met, and our findings depict the nascent rise of energy-intensive and emissions-intensive production activities in other Asian countries such as Vietnam and Pakistan.”
https://phys.org/news/2018-05-phase-globalization-undermine-efforts-co2.html
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Another study finds that the “worst case” scenario for climate change, as usually defined, is not realistic but should be described as even worse.  That is because it underestimates the rapid growth in global economies that can be foreseen, or the emissions associated with that growth.  This perception especially fits in with the observations made in the preceding story.  Things will not happen this way if developing countries can tune their growth rates to the availability of carbon-free energy sources, and of course the richer nations must do the same and even more, but all of that remains uncertain at this point.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2168847-worst-case-climate-change-scenario-is-even-worse-than-we-thought/
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A new poll from Pew Research Center on American attitudes toward the environment and climate change.  This poll was far more comprehensive than others that were recently reported, and more interesting.  It shows that on some important subjects there is widespread agreement regardless of political affiliation, and among these are many things where the actions of the Trump administration are firmly on the side of the minority.
http://www.pewinternet.org/2018/05/14/majorities-see-government-efforts-to-protect-the-environment-as-insufficient/
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From Mongabay, a report on the current state of Himalayan glaciers.  This report is very thorough, and beautifully illustrated, emphasizing trends that are dangerous but not overlooking signs and possibilities of a more hopeful sort.
https://india.mongabay.com/2018/05/14/himalayan-glaciers-are-wasting-away-threatening-mountain-communities/
Carl

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