New data on what casualty insurance companies are experiencing in the U.S. One interesting point is that North America experiences more severe weather events than any other large region around the globe. Note that the fastest growing category of events, by far, is that of “severe storms,” and also that a cluster of south-central states seem to have the most overall exposure. Actuaries link the increased severity of events to the global rise in temperatures. Without it being said, I suspect they also see a link between the rise in temperatures and the scientific explanation involving the rise in greenhouse gas levels.
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Latest thinking from a group of atmospheric physicists. This should apply to the story above. Their main idea is that the total number of storms is not likely to increase because of the warming air masses, but the strong ones will keep getting stronger, and the weak ones weaker. They explain the reasons for this divide in a way that is educational for those who have an interest in the basics of climate science.
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Increased signs of drought continuation in California. For January, low rainfall has been combining with a meager snowpack.
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Huge advance coming for measuring soil moisture. The new level of knowledge will be vital for many reasons. It will be especially useful for better understanding the development of drought conditions, leading to improved forecasts.
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This story recently appeared in the Washington Post. It’s a bit long, but quite fascinating for how it explains the odd ways that sea level is affected when a mountainous chunk of ice melts away. If West Antarctica goes the U.S. is positioned to feel the worst of it, in a weirdly coincidental way. Read on.
Carl