I’m sorry—my head is full of ideas that are bouncing around and I can’t get rid of them. It’s all about what I am calling “a new understanding of climate change,” as roughly outlined in the last two letters. If it turns out to be true, which I am not entirely sure of at this point, the consequences are not good, being things that not everybody will want to hear about or think about. (Nor is there really any need to.) But I can’t stop, so that is where most of my time and energy will now be spent. I plan to keep these letters going, but the content will have to show some changes, which are not yet fully determined. Most likely there will be a lot of material that either supports or throws doubt on the main idea. Maybe the doubt side will finally win out, and that would be a great relief.
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For those who don’t know me, I am way up in years, for whatever that means. Exactly five years ago I could not be bothered for even two minutes thinking about global warming, as it then was called, and knew nothing about the science, but I always did a lot of reading in other sciences. Then I found Hansen’s book, “Storms of My Grandchildren,” which rang a bell, and within months I was writing the Climate Letter, which at first was just sent by email to friends and family. That has been my life, all day and every day, for the last four years, as I have tried to learn everything I possibly could about all the different aspects of climate science and the people who do it for real.
This idea I have come up with in the past week or two is indeed a “big” idea, actually much too big for an inexperienced amateur to be running with. I think there are some scientists who know about it far better than I do, but have been reluctant to say much in public for one reason or another. While having less reason to feel inhibited, my way of going public will just be through the Climate Letter, not as the presentation of a finished product but as something that is still evolving and looking for better ways of being explained.
Now, if you are still with me, and want to continue on this journey, I invite you to watch this video of a lecture by Professor Julie Brigham-Grette, who managed a classic investigation of climate history from a very difficult location. Besides being a good story there is much to absorb about how science works plus analysis of a number of interesting and relevant results.
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My picks from today’s web research:
Natural disasters have quadrupled since 1970. (Very timely, with a big new one is right on our doorstep.)
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A project that is actually sucking CO2 from the air and making money:
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Why the net effect of deforestation on climate change is twice as great as people think:
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The River Jordan may not survive because of drought:
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An explanation for sea ice retreat in the Arctic Ocean:
Carl