Trump’s big Paris decision is due later today. By all accounts he is going to have the US withdraw, and that action is being widely understood as an event of major importance for the world’s history books, since many things are sure to change. What is critically important is how the rest of the world reacts. Part of it will most likely follow his lead, either by dropping out or by exercising existing rights to do very little in the way of cooperating. That given, where does it leave everyone else? The answer is inescapable, especially for those who believe in the absolute necessity of bringing emissions sharply down in an urgent manner. Whatever one’s previous plan might have been, now it must be doubled down. The unforgiving terms of the remaining carbon budget will have to be not just reexamined and reclarified but taken more seriously than ever before. Those who are willing to step up to the plate will have no more room for illusions about the exact weight of responsibility they are faced with. This is complicated by the fact that the original pledges established by Paris were not nearly sufficient to begin with.
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The American people have plenty of opportunities to participate in the reaction and thereby help to compensate for the projected damage by doing more as individuals than they previously expected to do, even more than they ever thought possible. The best place to start is by gathering a total understanding of what is going on, at every level, and what exactly is at stake. Once that is done one is in a correct position to make a decision about whatever price one is then willing to pay, in terms of active commitment, in order to overcome the observed adversity. If needed, there are people out there who can provide leadership and inspiration to that end.
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The message from Ken Ward at the beginning of this post is good for putting a positive spin on the Trump decision, not unlike my own perceptions.
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The Larsen C iceberg is ready to break off at any moment. If it should happen right in the middle of the Trump announcement the symbolism would be nearly just right, except that in this case the field that is left behind has little chance of surviving.
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Here is a reminder that some people in this world do not have it as good as we do, in part because of unhealthy climate conditions and also because of the actions of people who are both powerful and badly motivated.