Large parts of Iran are in the grip of an environmental catastrophe. Climate change is partly responsible, with careless environmental policies also having an effect. Water shortages threaten to make vast areas of land uninhabitable in the near future.
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A new US-based climate opinion poll from Yale and George Mason Universities. It is all quite interesting but doesn’t offer much help as a guide to the future. The poll clearly shows how out of touch the Trump administration is, apart from the reality that almost everyone has higher priorities of one kind or another. ” In short, because Americans view climate change as a problem distant in time and space, they don’t consider it an urgent problem or high priority, and thus they don’t penalize politicians who take actions to undermine the climate policies that American voters support.”
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A Canadian pollster analyzes the way people in that country mold their views on climate questions. “We’re relatively less worried than we were in 2007 and our beliefs split sharply along political lines.” Overall, Canadians still seem more concerned than Americans, but there is a right-wing base of denial that is probably strengthening in the wake of Trump’s victory.
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One more poll, having rather surprising resuts but limited to Michigan residents. This comes from a state that voted for Trump, and has had more than a fair share of economic problems, but now, if the poll is correct, seems to exhibit a most unusual set of priorities. “According to the poll, 59 percent favor protecting the environment, even when there could be economic risks of doing so, such as job loss.”
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A speech by Kevin Anderson. If you are not familiar with Kevin’s analysis of the “carbon budget” this video of a speech given last summer provides a good introduction. There are also a number of convenient links to other of his presentations, most of which are longer and even more meaty. Nobody has a better understanding of what is implied by the carbon budget, which is of unforgiving size, and will expire sooner than anyone would wish. If we do manage to stay under the 2C limit, as agreed to in Paris, Kevin’s speech will tell you what to expect over the next couple of decades with respect to your own way of life, subject to the necessity of greatly reduced levels of consumption.
Carl