2016 global temperature report from a James Hansen group. Official numbers are now ready for thorough analysis and chart updating as provided in this report. One outstanding number is plus 1.07C without short-term variability, relative to a baseline that simulates pre-industrial estimation. That is where we stand today relative to the ideal limit of 1.5C with growth trending on a linear pathway at 0.2C per decade since 1970.
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(Note: After the El Nino peak year of 1998 it took just four years for temperatures to come back and match that high, after which came an 11-year “pause” that turned out to be a misleading source of debate.)
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What are the options for mitigation? A group based in Norway is seeking to explore and categorize every conceivable opportunity, incorporated into scenarios whose outcomes can be modeled. This kind of knowledge will be helpful once a decision has been made at high levels to get really, really serious about doing things in the most urgent possible way. The group says it needs and is looking for more creative inputs that will maximize the efficiency of any such undertaking.
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Can the efficiency of silicon solar cells be doubled? There are some researchers in Japan who say they have found a way to do so, one that is quite unusual. While interesting, nothing is said about what will be required for commercialization.
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A new poll reveals how the American public feels about environmental regulation. The poll queried almost 10,000 people and is highly rated for accuracy. Trump’s government now has some guidelines on which to base a final decision about whose behalf it will be working for.
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New research into the formation of hydrocarbon sediments in early Earth history. Changing climate conditions were instrumental in causing a sequence of events in large bodies of water. “There’s a certain irony in the fact that the conditions which created oil and gas deposits millions of years ago are being recreated much more rapidly by burning of these fossil fuels.”
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Interesting answers to a number of questions about driverless cars. A takeover of full automation is likely to occur unbelievably soon, spurred by the magnitude of advantages. It should help speed up the transition to electric vehicles but gasoline power will dominate at first. Many questions of a practical sort are also answered.
Carl