Climate Letter #828

An interview with William K. Reilly, a Republican, former head of the EPA and before that the World Wildlife Fund.  Every Republican who wants to know what is happening to their party should hear what he has to say.  For everyone else, I have not yet seen a more credible source of information about what is currently going on, and what to look out for.  Right at the end he says, “For some time there has been the sense that serious climate disruptions are likely to confront our grandchildren, not us. Current forecasts indicate problems are more imminent.”  He is in the best possible position to know that for a fact.  Thanks to Yale e360 for bringing this man’s voice to our attention.

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Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democratic senator who is notably strong on climate policy, has interesting things to say about his Republican colleagues, as reported in the Washington Post.  He says some of them would like to change, but the pressures to conform are too great to overcome.
Extra comment:  It occurs to me that there are perhaps three of four people, all Republican senators, whose names I do not know, but are said to exist, who actually have it within their power to make a huge difference in the future course of life on Earth.  What they could do is break with their party bosses on one particular set of issues and vote consistently with the opposition against what is demonstrably wrong, starting right now with some bad personnel choices.  It just takes a bit of courage.
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Year-end report of CO2 growth for 2016.  The preliminary number is up 2.77 ppm from 2015, which in turn was up 3.03 ppm from 2014.  Both years well were above trend because of added El Nino effects that will now subside.  The basic trend has been rising by an average of 2.3 ppm per year for the past decade.  Check out other links at this site, especially Interactive Plots, which show how much irregularity there is by shorter-term standards in contrast with the nearly perfect regularity of the long-term trend.  I do not yet see any sign of a deceleration.
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A report from NOAA about the trend of high-cost weather disasters in the US, where 2016 was an historic type of year.  The post contains a link to the main report, which includes a graph that shows how the number of disastrous events and their total cost have been growing since 1980, after adjusting for changes in the CPI.  As one might expect, damage from severe storms and flooding have been the fastest growing categories.
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A vast region of tropical peatland has been discovered in central Republic of Congo.  This story provides a good bit of education about the nature of peat formation, the amount of carbon that is stored, and the high priorities that are required of future management.  The disasters still being experienced in Indonesia must not be repeated.
Carl

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