Climate Letter #800

Posted on December 1, 2016 by Carl Campbell
A major new study on the potential release of carbon from soil as it warms.  “Writing in journal Nature, they project that an increase of 1C (1.8F) will release an additional 55 billion tonnes of carbon into the atmosphere by 2050.”  That kind of feedback, on top of ordinary emissions that humans can control, creates fear of a real tipping point that would be very difficult to stop.  This important story provides information that greatly adds to the need for urgency in meeting abatement goals.

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The livestock contribution to greenhouse gas emissions must somehow be sharply reduced.  A diet that included certain kinds of seaweed would help, if there were enough.  This story is mainly about why this problem exists and the amazing magnitude of its effects, which are transmitted by methane.  “About 14.5 percent of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions come from livestock. That is more than global car and airplane traffic emissions combined.”
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The rate of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon is again rising.  The rate of increase is now the highest since 2008 and the future at this moment is uncertain.  “…a lack of funding has hampered the organization that’s tasked with stopping illegal logging efforts.”
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Energy efficiency programs have a huge potential role in emissions reduction.  For the US the figure could be as high as 35% of energy consumption by 2030 without making cuts in production or living standards.  How likely will that happen?  One group that would be greatly harmed is made up of fossil fuel interests, the very same people who have now gained control of the US government and will have representatives in key spots throughout the administration.
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Military leaders look for an “unimaginable” refugee crisis due to the effects of climate change.  Mass migration could become the new normal in the 21st century, creating high potential for conflicts.  Bangladesh alone has 30 million people who are threatened by sea level rise and may need to find new homes.
Carl

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