Climate Letter #783

Posted on November 7, 2016 by Carl Campbell
From the Climate Reanalyzer, Nov. 7:  The high Arctic is still incredibly warm, with anomalies locked in with a range of 25-35F.  The anomaly for Antarctica has recently been quite similar, which is even more unusual.  If you click on Temperature you will see how close to the North Pole there is air with a daily average right at the freezing point.  Almost all of Russia, meanwhile, has gone to the opposite extreme, while North America mostly “bakes.”

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A preview of this week’s talks in Marrakech.  It’s mostly about nuts and bolts that were left behind in Paris rather than a search for any kind of grand bargain, and should be successful.
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How temperature affects the availability of water.  People who manage future water supplies for a given region must have the right answers.  In this post the Colorado River is the focus, with the approach explained in a realistic manner.  There are going to be continuing shortages but they can be dealt with if properly handled–up to a point.
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An interview with noted British economist Nicholas Stern.  (His knowledge of the whole climate situation is deeply-rooted for perspective and widely viewed as profound.)  In general, his sense of the magnitude of dangers we are exposed to has grown over the years and there has been too much delay in responding appropriately.  He thinks whatever it takes to prevent the envisioned amount of prospective damage would be worth doing, regardless of what the cost may be.  While a successful effort is still possible he is not confident that it will happen.

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