Climate Letter #670

How actual climate scientists are reacting to Donald Trump’s energy plan.  All five of these individuals make separate points that are worth thinking about and should serve as a basis for further editorializing.  Because of the many ways it could change the world, the Trump plan has to become a campaign issue that ranks as high, for example, as that of the political slant of the next Supreme Court justice.

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How meeting the goals of the Paris Accord is being challenged.  A new report from the IEA takes a close look at the kind of growth expected for global population, developing world urbanization and per capita energy consumption.  A projected 70% increase in energy demand under current trends must be reduced to 20% in order to leave room for reducing emissions enough to stay under the 2C threshold.  That would require some extraordinary national policy changes that are “not yet on the horizon.”
An important new science of the ocean is emerging.  It turns out that living communities around hydrothermal vents and methane seeps on the ocean floor constitute ecosystems that have a vital role in protecting the environment above the surface.  This is totally new information.  “We had no idea at first how important this ecological process was to global climate…Through methane consumption, these life forms are literally saving the planet.”  They are also endangered by several kinds of human activity and need to be protected.
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Spectacular coral bleaching is devastating reefs in the Maldives.  The extreme El Nino events that are the cause were not seen before 1982 but have occurred three times since then.
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The palm oil story keeps getting worse.  In Europe nearly half of palm oil consumption is used for transportation fuel— information has not previously been publicized.  The growth of palm oil farming is responsible for much of the world’s tropical deforestation.
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Deforestation is often accomplished with slave labor.  Kevin Bales has done great work uncovering the activities of an estimated 35 million victims of slave holding, yielding a significant source of carbon emissions that might otherwise be unrewarding.  Reducing either problem could also bring relief to the other.
Carl

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