The World Bank can really make a difference. It’s all about the more than 1500 coal-fired power plants that are being planned for construction around the world, mainly in developing countries. If they are built and begin operating that would stymie every effort to prevent a total climate catastrophe. The head of the World Bank talks like someone who has decided not to let that happen, and he has plenty of tools on hand to work with. A new “post-Paris world” seems to be taking shape.
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Here is another post-Paris development: The IPCC is going to seriously consider the challenge of what it would take to hold the global temperature increase to 1.5C. That is in spite of knowing that the standard 2.0C goal is itself almost unattainable in a realistic sense. There is a growing sense of emergency, and a need for much more dramatic action, fueled by actual events in the natural world that are impossible to ignore. The IPCC needs to overcome its reputation for being too conservative and too far out of date with respect to admitting new information.
What the IPCC plans to accomplish. If you scroll down to a circular graph you can see the probabilities of what future temperatures will be like if the current level of emissions simply stays right where it is now. There is accordingly not much time to waste on conferences before drastic changes would need to begin.
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Dead coral reefs are a natural reality now much in the news. They are a big part of the wake-up call, that things are quickly going wrong, even with global temperatures up just one degree. For people who depend on such reefs for a living this means catastrophic climate change is already here, not part of some distant future.
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The US may have found a new subject for open political debate. Clinton and Sanders have gone head to head on what to do about climate change, a subject most politicians would rather not touch. I think Sanders, who is easily the more revolutionary of the two, should get credit for breaking the ice, and it doesn’t seem to be in any way damaging to his political ascendancy. Assuming that Hillary still gets the nomination, we’ll see if she wants to bring up a similar type of debate with her Republican opponent—who is not himself likely to be interested.
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The case against big oil, and what it knew many years ago, keeps building. Here is an ironic piece of information that has been discovered in a 1962 edition of Life Magazine: The headline: “EACH DAY HUMBLE SUPPLIES ENOUGH ENERGY TO MELT 7 MILLION TONS OF GLACIER!” Humble was a forerunner of today’s Exxon, which is now struggling with lawsuits claiming corporate misbehavior.
Carl