Climate Letter #634

A recent report in a science journal is disputed.  The report, which was widely publicized, raised doubts about the mainstream opinion among climate scientists that climate change implies a steady increase for both precipitation and the occurrence of drought.  I did not comment on it in this letter at the time, thinking there would likely be a swift rebuttal from some of the more prominent figures in the community.  That has indeed happened, and here is a good summary from Joe Romm that covers where the article went wrong and also how a number of other scientists are weighing in.  This is a subject of great importance for anyone who ponders what the worst effects of climate change will be like.  A spreading and worsening of drought is right up around the top.

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Bad news for people living on small islands.  Their limited supplies of fresh water will become even more limited as the atmosphere warms.  New studies show how this will be the result of increased evaporation for many locations.  Rising sea levels provide a separate menace to fresh water supplies in all of these locations.
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An update about coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef.  It is apparently much worse than depicted in recent reports.
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An interview with Michael Mann about the coming sea level rise.  He seems to have been convinced that raising the estimate for this century to around six feet now makes good sense in the light of all the recent high quality research work that has been done by persons other than himself.
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How fast can the ice sheets melt?  Peter Sinclair, who is an expert at this kind of work, has put together a series of short videos that cover almost all of the bases of recent sea level research using interviews with the researchers themselves plus a lot of illustrations.  These are people who know more than anyone in the world about what is happening, and they are not sanguine.  Notice the big differences between the way Greenland melts in contrast with Antarctica.  Both are accelerating in ways that add up.
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A simple new way for electric utilities to achieve short-term bulk storage of power.  It’s certainly interesting, is fully tested, would work in a great many locations, and is soon going to be installed for real in Nevada.  While privately financed, there still seem to be questions about cost effectiveness that need better answers.
Carl

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