Climate Letter #959

Rains have failed in East Africa for the third year in a row.  It was not supposed to happen this year in the absence of an El Nino influence.  Sixteen million people in five countries need humanitarian aid, with more to come.

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A new study about the risk of simultaneous crop failures in different parts of the world.  The chances of this happening keep growing because of climate change, with special fears when the major “breadbaskets” relied upon for humanitarian aid are involved.  (See CL#956 for two stories about the approaching water shortages faced by agriculture in western parts of the US.)
–As if things were not already bad enough, this study predicts a resurgence of dust storms in the High Plains later in this century:
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A warning from a major UK asset management firm, Schroders.  Climate related research has a regular role in this firm’s decision making process, which is becoming common for their industry.  A new report “argues that global temperatures are set to rise by more than 4 degrees above pre-Industrial Revolution levels, overshooting the 1.5 to 2-degree target agreed by almost 150 world leaders in Paris back in 2015.”  They see this having a negative impact on global GDP and corporate profits—maybe an understatement?
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Interview with a venerable godfather of climate science.  Michael Oppenheimer, who was lead author of the 2007 IPCC report, has thorough knowledge of the IPCC and how it falls short with respect to recognizing cutting edge research.  He has much to say here that is of real interest in showing how deep the problem actually is, and I think you can trust his credibility in evaluating these things.  He is most uncertain about the ability of humans to offer an adequate response.
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The most indestructible creature living on Earth.  “Those who fear that runaway climate change could threaten all life on Earth can breathe again. One life form is destined to prove an indestructible survivor, so however bad things get, life itself will endure.”
Carl

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