Longer and fiercer fire seasons are now the new normal in the US West. This year could end up as the worst ever. Dry periods keep getting drier as temperatures rise.
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–Temperature records are certainly falling:
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Turkey says it will not ratify the Paris accord, citing Trump’s withdrawal as a reason. Russia has said it will not ratify the deal until 2019 or 2020 at the earliest. Both of these countries agreed with the G20 majority report that gave full backing to the accord, and there may be others like them. Go figure.
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How close are we to a full-blown mass extinction? A new scientific report has been published with plenty of information showing that we may not be there yet but are certainly in the early stages. Wildlife population declines are thought to have averaged about one half in recent times, a trend that we can do something about if we have the will.
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Here is a separate and more complete story covering this important report. I find that the current extinction is so unlike any of those in the past because of the unique way that animal habitat is being degraded or destroyed, not by massive convulsions but in a more surgical style propelled by humans that just keeps relentlessly spreading.
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Yesterday’s story from New York magazine has started a flow of media responses without parallel for something of this type. Many have not been happy with the way the message was presented, mostly for being too alarmist, or else not quite right. It will be worth some follow-ups. Here is a Q&A with the author, a writer who has truly done his homework and can offer a few more insights into what a number of scientists are thinking.
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This review of the article by New Republic has many interesting points to make about the appropriateness of the way this was handled. Note the dilemma that is involved, starting here: “My own experience in speaking to public audiences is that doomsday stories such as this article are so depressing that people shut down and stop listening,” Jennifer Francis, an atmospheric scientist at Rutgers, wrote in an email to me. “If there is no hope, there will be no action, and goodness knows we need a lot more action to reign in greenhouse gas emissions right now.” Then we get a message from professor John Cook, who generally agreed but added that If we only communicate the solutions “people lack the urgency that the situation requires.” Not acting is part of the basic equation that will determine the final level of threat.
Carl