Climate Letter #753

CO2 report.  Every summer there is a sharp decline in the atmospheric CO2 level which ends very abruptly and immediately begins an equally sharp uptrend.  The last week in September is the regular time for the bounce to occur, so here we are.  It looks like the reading for this week will be about 400.5 ppm, versus 397.3 a year ago.  That large increase happened under the spell of El Nino, as will be the case for 2016 as a whole.  For the next twelve months, with a completely fresh start, we need to see a gain of less than 2 ppm for a true sign of progress, and it is possible.  (Scroll down.)

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How people are faring these days as they depart from the Marshall Islands.  This particular group has some security, if they are able to adjust to a completely different world and way of life.  That won’t always be the case in the future.
Here is a broader report about the future of the climate refugee problem:
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Disturbing reports from last week’s conference in Oxford.  As the dangers of living with a 1.5C warming increase become more clear so does the difficulty of finding a way to avoid it, especially with an occurrence foreseen as soon as a decade from now.  With geoengineering solutions still very much in doubt there was more talk about the need to encourage new practices in agriculture, forestry, land use, personal lifestyles and pure creativity in addition to expanding programmed cuts in fossil fuel emissions.
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How is China planning to feed itself?  The material for this report was taken from a book by Peter Wadhams, whose outlook tends to run on the gloomy side more so than other scientists.  The idea that China is planning to produce and transport large amounts of food from both Africa and South America in order to feed its own people raises all sorts of concerns as well as questions.  One question, not covered here, would clarify the amount of degradation that has already occurred on China’s agricultural land as a result of misguided industrialization policies.
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How Arctic warming is affecting animal migration.  Caspian terns have actually moved their migratory routes by a full 1000 miles north.  Other animals are moving too, if they can, but birds have a big mobility advantage.

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