Climate Letter #555

An explanation behind the “unstoppable” process of ice sheet melting.  New research based on a wealth of historical evidence provides backup for theories of how quickly the sheets can break down.

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The effects of El Nino at “ground zero.” The main engine of El Nino is a Kelvin wave of warm water that comes to shore along the northwest coast of South America.  This is the story of what that means for Ecuador (and likewise Peru,) mostly in the form of flooding.  This year’s floods may be unprecedented.  “Warmer temperatures can hold more moisture, so areas that are typically wet, with El Niño, are likely to be even wetter.”
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Report from the recent extreme flooding of Chennai, India.  It has been attributed to the extraordinary warming of the surface waters of the Indian Ocean this year, one of the global effects of El Nino, along with above average air temperatures.  “Millions were left without food and clean water….”
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Prospects for a phase-change in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.  This is a trend that lasts for decades, most recently expressed as a 15-year cool phase that was largely responsible for the global warming “pause.”  Signs are now pointing toward a switch, which would accelerate the climb in global temperatures while creating stronger El Nino episodes like the one now in effect.  Excellent explanation in this post.
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The new US budget has good news for the growth of clean energy.  A deal that extends existing tax credits, which were about to expire, was made in exchange for lifting the 40-year ban on oil exports.
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The motivation behind climate denial in the US is being steadily undermined.  The harmonious outcome in Paris is a significant factor.  This discussion from the Washington Post includes quite a few interesting viewpoints provided by professional psychologists.
Carl

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