Climate Letter #489

How climate change might transform nature.  A study has been done revealing how quickly new ecological systems can emerge to replace the ones we are familiar with in the event of extreme temperature swings.  There is no guarantee that humans will be comfortable in the new setting.

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Some actual figures about the value of government subsidies to coal producers.  These relate to the entire Australian coal industry in one case and to the US Powder River Basin producers in another.  The results are shown to be large enough to have consequences.  It so happens that I personally benefit from the Powder River subsidies in a way that reduces my electric bill.  That suggests one reason why these subsidies are never removed.
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Fred Pearce analyzes the prospect of positive results from the Paris conference.  Fred is a seasoned observer, and can be depended on for straight answers.  What he sees is pretty murky, no breakthroughs, not much change, and nothing is much different from what is already plainly visible to the rest of us.
The top UN official says the pledges do not add up.  “Instead, the climate promises now on the table mean a temperature increase of about 3 degrees by the end of the century.”  But maybe we can hope something better will happen later on.
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Part II of Exxon’s early foray into climate research.  The story has considerable historical interest just for what it is.  You can scroll down and find a cartoon summary of important things that Exxon learned and understood which are among the benchmarks of today’s climate science.
Carl

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